Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 5.011837 5.782148 6.630112 7.632682 8.785676 10.070217 11.610170
2024-12-15 4.101653 5.146006 6.393053 7.991486 9.986208 12.394151 15.523653
2024-12-22 3.287323 4.439330 5.916592 7.949019 10.673320 14.200892 19.120781
2024-12-29 2.899385 4.182620 5.936723 8.508047 12.182406 17.247881 24.772552
2025-01-05 2.538352 3.888124 5.843339 8.879297 13.476672 20.184727 30.734994
2025-01-12 2.176994 3.523163 5.579589 8.945635 14.320791 22.581480 36.270033
2025-01-19 1.784768 3.039419 5.052693 8.513005 14.316782 23.674325 39.946770
2025-01-26 1.624000 2.898872 5.039588 8.888453 15.642787 27.024620 47.716209
2025-02-02 1.530502 2.854524 5.173835 9.522553 17.482534 31.458613 57.938330
2025-02-09 1.389239 2.700713 5.091638 9.755815 18.639389 34.852979 66.791946
2025-02-16 1.253563 2.534533 4.959811 9.871794 19.585757 37.975854 75.560530
2025-02-23 1.093770 2.295956 4.655701 9.609129 19.762709 39.667599 81.800668
2025-03-02 0.938443 2.046831 4.304103 9.218775 19.668288 40.895127 87.462459
2025-03-09 0.857736 1.941053 4.226833 9.381572 20.733703 44.595551 98.772804
2025-03-16 0.755014 1.771042 3.990056 9.168323 20.968963 46.611067 106.806571
2025-03-23 0.723372 1.755936 4.086440 9.705125 22.933470 52.601347 124.496753
2025-03-30 0.680637 1.708031 4.102000 10.059115 24.534214 58.008049 141.662921
2025-04-06 0.621418 1.610745 3.988725 10.091093 25.381937 61.811591 155.620865
2025-04-13 0.537759 1.438904 3.671921 9.577986 24.829592 62.242090 161.450380
2025-04-20 0.513362 1.415796 3.717744 9.983543 26.634192 68.627199 183.128864
2025-04-27 0.504710 1.433170 3.868647 10.684190 29.302879 77.531420 212.615486
2025-05-04 0.475392 1.389235 3.853155 10.938693 30.827295 83.715489 235.809563
2025-05-11 0.443232 1.332106 3.793904 11.064220 32.019222 89.188894 257.880996